Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets


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The Golden State Warriors are one win away from being the first team in the 2022 NBA playoffs to reach the Conference Finals after an ugly, low-scoring victory in Game 4. Given that Ja Morant has been declared out for the remainder of the series with a bone bruise in his right knee, it seems like the Warriors will triumph over the Memphis Grizzlies.

But, in Game 5, can Golden State be able to wrap out the series on the road? Will they, more crucially, cover? Let’s take a look at the betting odds for Wednesday’s showdown and see if we can discover any winners.

Game 5 odds and predictions for Warriors vs. Grizzlies

Steph Curry drives to the basket against the Grizzlies.

Steph Curry drives to the basket against the Grizzlies. During Game 3 against the Memphis Grizzlies, Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors drives to the rim for a layup | Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Warriors -4 (spread). Total: 218.5 Warriors -174, Grizzlies +146 on the moneyline

The Warriors and Grizzlies’ Western Conference semifinal matchup had all the makings of a back-and-forth classic. Morant, unfortunately for everyone concerned, sustained a bone injury in his right knee in Game 3 and is now questionable to return to the playoffs at any time.

Morant’s absence was immediately noticed in Game 4, as Memphis struggled to establish a rhythm offensively and ended with the series’ lowest point total (98). Golden State shot 39.6 percent from the floor and 23.7 percent from three-point range all night, but their championship pedigree showed up in the fourth quarter on its way to a sloppy victory.

As we return to Memphis for Game 5, the series is currently 3-1 in favor of the Warriors. The Grizzlies are four-point home underdogs in this must-win game, with the total resting at a series-low 218.5.

Given how lifeless both offenses looked in Game 4, it could be tempting to take the under, but I anticipate the Warriors to rebound in a major manner from beyond the arc. On Wednesday night, I believe Golden State will win the series and cover the spread.

Best bets for Game 5 of the Warriors-Grizzlies series

What’s the Warriors’ game plan for their close out game in Memphis tonight? Stephen Curry had a simple answer: pic.twitter.com/fgpSkzypsR

— Kendra Andrews (@kendra__andrews) May 11, 2022

Warriors minus four (-110)

You’d probably predict the Warriors to lose Game 4 if I told you they’d shoot 9/38 from three, commit 16 turnovers, and Klay Thompson would shoot 6-of-20 from the field and 0-of-7 from three. They certainly should’ve lost, but despite having their worst offensive performance of the 2022 playoffs, they managed to win.

In Game 5, those dismal shooting stats will not be repeated. Golden State is eager to wrap up this series and rest up for the Western Conference Finals. There’s no reason why the Dubs shouldn’t win this game easily.

Over 7.5 rebounds for Draymond Green (-112)

In Game 4, Draymond Green had 10 rebounds on 17 opportunities without Morant on the field. In the series, he’s averaging 14 rebound opportunities per game, and we just need a little more than half of them to achieve our prop.

Green should be active on the defensive end, particularly on the boards, in a close-out scenario. Don’t be shocked if he has double-digit rebounds for the second consecutive game.

FanDuel provided all betting odds as of 5/11.

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Why Isn’t Ja Morant Playing For The Memphis Grizzlies?

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